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US Intelligence and the Polish Crisis: 1980 - 1981, a book published in 2001 by the United States Central Intelligence Agency's Center for the Study of Intelligence
1,735 words Caught Off Guard; Col. Kuklinski's Contribution; Why Wasn't Solidarity Alerted?; The Intelligence Flow
6,665 words Chapter 1: Solidarity Evolves as a Political Force; The Washington Perspective: Threat of Soviet Intervention
5,700 words Chapter 2: Scenarios for Use of Force; A Collision Course; The Intelligence Picture in Washington
5,930 words Chapter 3: Brzezinski briefs the President; Intelligence Community disseminats an Alert Memorandum; the White House releases a statement
7,360 words Chapter 4: Soviet and East European Records on Military Contingency Planning; Polish Military Involvement In December "Exercise" Planning; The Warsaw Pact Summit in Moscow; Interpreting the Evidence; Alternative Readings
3,085 words Chapter 5: Principle of "not certain, but enough evidence to warrant action" difficult to implement.
5,560 words Chapter 6: A Farmers' Gdansk; Work-Free Saturdays; Assessing the Prospects; More Government Concessions and New Confrontations
4,870 words Chapter 7: Grounds for Hope; Grounds for Concern
7,620 words Chapter 8: A Staged Provocation?; Positioning the Military Forces?; A Respite?; False Alarm
5,135 words Chapter 9: Soviet Prodding; The Clandestine Meeting; The Polish Sidestep; Intelligence in Hindsight
6,670 words Chapter 10: A Blast From Moscow; Soviet Options: Invade or Accept Liberalization; The Party Congress
7,610 words Chapter 11: Solidarity's First National Congress: The Initial Salvo; Revived Concerns Over Martial Law; New Warnings From Kuklinski; Signals Missed?; Escalating Threats to Regime Pre-Eminence; A Rival Constitution
8,795 words Chapter 12: The Regime Launches Its Counteroffensive; Setting the Stage; Kuklinski Escapes; The Final Act
6,435 words Chapter 13: Chronology September-October 1981: Key Evidence Relating to Martial Law
3,850 words Chapter 14: Based on the eventsof 1980 and 1981, had a Soviet invasion force been readied near Poland, the US would ensure the whole world heard about it well before the assault could be launched.
840 words Sources
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