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US Intelligence and the Polish Crisis: 1980 - 1981, a book published in 2001 by the United States Central Intelligence Agency's Center for the Study of Intelligence |
US Intelligence and the Polish Crisis: 1980 - 1981: Summary |
1,735 words |
Caught Off Guard; Col. Kuklinski's Contribution; Why Wasn't Solidarity Alerted?; The Intelligence Flow |
The Burgeoning Confrontation |
6,665 words |
Chapter 1: Solidarity Evolves as a Political Force; The Washington Perspective: Threat of Soviet Intervention |
The Confrontation Escalates |
5,700 words |
Chapter 2: Scenarios for Use of Force; A Collision Course; The Intelligence Picture in Washington |
US Launches Public Policy and Diplomatic Offensive |
5,930 words |
Chapter 3: Brzezinski briefs the President; Intelligence Community disseminats an Alert Memorandum; the White House releases a statement |
Filling Out The Picture |
7,360 words |
Chapter 4: Soviet and East European Records on Military Contingency Planning; Polish Military Involvement In December "Exercise" Planning; The Warsaw Pact Summit in Moscow; Interpreting the Evidence; Alternative Readings |
Intelligence and Policy |
3,085 words |
Chapter 5: Principle of "not certain, but enough evidence to warrant action" difficult to implement. |
Escalating Challenges to the Polish Regime |
5,560 words |
Chapter 6: A Farmers' Gdansk; Work-Free Saturdays; Assessing the Prospects; More Government Concessions and New Confrontations |
Jaruzelski Takes the Government Reins |
4,870 words |
Chapter 7: Grounds for Hope; Grounds for Concern |
A Setup for Military Crackdown |
7,620 words |
Chapter 8: A Staged Provocation?; Positioning the Military Forces?; A Respite?; False Alarm |
A Close Call? |
5,135 words |
Chapter 9: Soviet Prodding; The Clandestine Meeting; The Polish Sidestep; Intelligence in Hindsight |
Liberalization Infects the Party |
6,670 words |
Chapter 10: A Blast From Moscow; Soviet Options: Invade or Accept Liberalization; The Party Congress |
Solidarity Charges Ahead, and the Regime Digs In |
7,610 words |
Chapter 11: Solidarity's First National Congress: The Initial Salvo; Revived Concerns Over Martial Law; New Warnings From Kuklinski; Signals Missed?; Escalating Threats to Regime Pre-Eminence; A Rival Constitution |
Bringing Down the Curtain |
8,795 words |
Chapter 12: The Regime Launches Its Counteroffensive; Setting the Stage; Kuklinski Escapes; The Final Act |
Caught Off Guard |
6,435 words |
Chapter 13: Chronology September-October 1981: Key Evidence Relating to Martial Law |
Would It Have Made a Difference? |
3,850 words |
Chapter 14: Based on the eventsof 1980 and 1981, had a Soviet invasion force been readied near Poland, the US would ensure the whole world heard about it well before the assault could be launched. |
Sources |
840 words |
Sources |
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